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HP2DFA > NHC      14.10.26 00:33l 77 Lines 2733 Bytes #23 (0) @ WW
BID : 4339_HP2DFA
Subj: NHC: Tropical Depression Twenty-One-e Public Advisory Numbe
Path: JH4XSY<IW0QNL<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<VK6HGR<VK7AX<VK3AT<VE3QBZ<VE3CGR<DM4RW<
      HP2DFA
Sent: 261013/1457Z 4339@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24

======================================================================
               NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) BULLETIN - WW
            Automated NOAA/NHC Real-Time Operational Broadcast
======================================================================
Title: Tropical Depression Twenty-One-e Public Advisory Number 1
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issued at 900 AM CST Tue Oct 13 2026 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131449
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026
900 AM CST Tue Oct 13 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY TO A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.8N 96.5W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in southwestern and west-central Mexico should monitor
the progress of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 96.5
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h). A motion between west-northwest and northwest should continue
through Wednesday night.  A turn toward the north-northwest and a
decrease in forward speed is expected on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Rapid intensification is forecast during the next 3 days, and the
cyclone is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night and a
major hurricane by Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E are
expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico
late this week.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
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MAIL: HP2DFA@GMAIL.COM / HP2DFA-5@BPQ32
73 DE HP2DFA-5 / BPQ32 NODE PANAMA
======================================================================


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