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HP2DFA > NHC 14.10.26 12:03l 110 Lines 3891 Bytes #28 (0) @ WW
BID : 4402_HP2DFA
Subj: NHC: Hurricane Simon Public Advisory Number 27
Path: JH4XSY<IW0QNL<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<VE2JOS<VE3CGR<DM4RW<HP2DFA
Sent: 261014/0242Z 4402@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) BULLETIN - WW
Automated NOAA/NHC Real-Time Operational Broadcast
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Title: Hurricane Simon Public Advisory Number 27
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
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Issued at 800 PM MST Tue Oct 13 2026 858
WTPZ35 KNHC 140235
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026
800 PM MST Tue Oct 13 2026
...SMALL SIMON STRENGTHENS OFF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO..
...INTERESTS THERE AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 107.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Las Islas Marias
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests in west-central Mexico and in Baja California Sur should
continue to monitor as new watches and warnings may be issued over
the next day or two.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Simon was located
near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 107.6 West. Simon is drifting
toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to
move very slowly and erratically over the next couple of days. An
eventual turn to the north or north-northwest is forecast to occur
late this week.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
overnight, and Simon could become a major hurricane again. Gradual
weakening is forecast beginning Wednesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles
(55 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area for Las Islas Marias on Thursday.
RAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2
inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of
the states of Baja California Sur, Nayarit, and Sinaloa.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of
west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST.
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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